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Event:Frosinone vs Bologna (12:30)
Pick:8.5 corner kicks
Odd:1.69
Analysis:In the 31st round of Italy's Serie A, Frosinone, currently struggling in the relegation zone at 18th place, is set to host this season's surprise package, Bologna, who are impressively sitting in 4th place. This match holds significant importance for both teams. The hosts are battling to escape from the bottom of the table, while the visitors have their sights set on qualifying for the Champions League. Despite Frosinone's recent poor form, having not won in their last 9 matches, it would be premature to predict an outright victory for Thiago Motta's men, as many might expect. Frosinone has shown themselves to be a tough opponent on their home ground, and with their current desperate situation, it wouldn't completely surprise me if Bologna were to drop points in this encounter.
In my analysis, the most promising bet for this match seems to be on the number of corner kicks. Eusebio Di Francesco's side has produced a significant number of corners at home this year:
- 5 against Monza
- 8 against Cagliari
- 2 against Milan
- 10 against Roma
- 12 against Lecce
- 9 against Lazio
On the other hand, Bologna's corner stats in away matches in 2024 are as follows:
- 5 against Cagliari
- 1 against Milan
- 3 against Lazio
- 2 against Atalanta
- 6 against Empoli
While Bologna tends to have fewer corners against stronger teams, their performance against teams similar to Frosinone suggests they're capable of accumulating a significant number. In their first meeting this season, Bologna clinched a 2:1 win at home with a total of 9 corners in the match (4 for Bologna, 5 for Frosinone). I anticipate both teams will be aggressively seeking a win today, which should lead to an open game and, consequently, a higher number of corner kicks.
Adding to the analysis, it's valuable to consider the defensive and offensive strategies of both teams. Frosinone's approach to playing conservatively at home and attempting to exploit counter-attacks could open up opportunities for corners. Simultaneously, Bologna's inclination for possession-based football and pressing high up the pitch could also increase the likelihood of corners, especially if Frosinone is forced into clearing the ball under pressure. Therefore, considering the tactical setups and the stakes involved in the match, the corner bet not only appears appealing based on past data but also when analyzing the potential flow of the game.
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