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Event:Brest - Metz 13:00 ⚽
Pick:over 1.5 Metz croissants
Odd:1.55
Analysis:In the 28th round of Ligue 1, a match between Brest and Metz is set to take place. The hosts, Brest, are on track to secure the runner-up position in the league, currently holding the 2nd spot with 50 points. On the other hand, Metz finds themselves fighting for survival in France’s top tier, presently at 17th place with 23 points. This game could see Brest receiving at least one yellow card and Metz being awarded at least two corners.
Analyzing Brest's home game behavior, they have shown a tendency towards aggressive play, as evidenced by their receipt of multiple yellow cards in previous matches: three against Lille, four versus Le Havre, five when playing against Marseille, three in the Nice match, and one against Montpellier. This averages out to 2.5 yellow cards per game for the hosts, indicating that alongside good performance, a certain level of aggression accompanies their play style.
As for Metz, their away games reveal a consistent ability to win corners, surpassing a baseline of two in every match this season. Their corner statistics in recent away fixtures include seven against Reims, three versus Nantes, four when playing Montpellier, three against Marseille, and two in the match with Nice, averaging 4.1 corners per game. Given Metz's urgent need for points to avoid relegation, their strategy will likely involve attacking Brest, which historically results in earning corners regardless of the opponent’s strength.
Taking into account Brest's form and their home behavior statistics alongside Metz's performance in away games and their situation near the relegation zone, it is plausible to expect that Brest will receive at least one yellow card and Metz will earn a minimum of two corners during this match. This analysis suggests that both teams' styles and needs might influence the game's flow in these specific areas. Good luck to both teams as they look to achieve their respective league aspirations.
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